BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+7 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Russia. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week contemplating it is a more compact card and begins at 10:15am ET. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to receive my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a great quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t believe there are really no money locks this week, so I needed to bring up a money strategy I use a lot of the time, which can be punting in money and accepting a loss. I really don’t believe Roxy gets the win , but she’s just $6.9k and I think she gets 15-minutes of actions. I like the floor that comes with this and punting with her cheap cost enables us to fit in a lot of the higher favorites with our other five spots. We do not want 6 wins in money games, so I don’t believe we will need to try for this. I like playing money games if I can lock 25-35 points in a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I’m totally okay with that. I always look for 4 wins in money and above 350-400 DK points. That’s my goal weekly. Let everyone else make the errors and only shoot for a score that may conquer 50 percent or more of this area.
GPP drama of this week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This is an all-in fight for GPPs in my opinion and I like Overeem among my top plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so that I would be shocked to see this go all 5 rounds. In addition, I think Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him at the game that is spectacular. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the feet is by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing submission. Other than those two outcomes, Overeem will smoke him on the toes. I also believe Overeem will work his way back to his feet if he is taken down and the more Oleinik shoots takedowns the faster he will gas out. I enjoy the -175 ITD line which is included with Overeem here and I think he gets a finish in around 1 or 2. That should provide us close to 100 DK points if not more, and I want that in lots of my own GPP lineups.
Underdog play of this week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the gambling line (-120) but DraftKings salaries do not change once they’re released. We get Fiziev here for $800 less costly than Mustafaev and he is preferred to get the win. I was really impressed by what I saw out of this kid and I concur with all the line motion. I really do think he has the win here, but it’s the DK value that we would like to make certain to get exposure to the weekend. I believe he is a great play in cash games with the present price and I hope to be overweight on him in GPPs as well. We have to roster underdogs in our lineups and if we could use a favorite as among these»underdogs» I am usually on board for that.
Fade of the week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of this week because of her $9.3k price label. I do think she gets the win here since I said earlier, I simply don’t see the way she can pay off that wages without a finish. I don’t see her shooting any takedowns in this game, and I don’t wish to rely on her getting knockdown points either. So, we’re only likely to be getting 0.5 points per significant strike, and the 30-point win bonus when she wins a choice. If this is true, we would need her to land over 126 sig strikes just to secure more than 10x worth. I really don’t see that being true and I believe she more likely scores 80-85 DK points at a decision win. At her wages, that will not win anyone the large $25k. That is the prize I’m shooting so that’s why she is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 69-41 for +237.39u (+$23,739) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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