BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Sweden. It was a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi fall off, so be sure they are not on your lineups. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a great deal of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will try to receive my 3rd chair this week. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k decoration, and then I am going to take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of the card this week and he is also the largest betting favorite on the card. I think we can stack this principal event in money games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure whether I’ll do this or not. I’ll for sure have Gustafsson in my cash lineup however and he’s who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I believe he has the highest ceiling about the card and I believe he gets a complete in this fight. Possibly with numerous takedowns. He’ll be extremely popular in GPPs so in the event that you would like to escape from him I think that the tournaments are the spots for that. I will be locking him into my money lineup though personally.
GPP drama of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I like Evinger in her struggle and that I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to success is punishing Lansberg on the floor and that scores tremendously if she can do that. I also believe she could get a finish. I believe she’s in play in all formats and I really do think she’s 100+ upside down here and that’s the reason she is my GPP drama of the week. There aren’t many UFC matchups I would say that for with Evinger at this stage in her career, but this one looks perfect for her. I think she dominates this battle and finishes it with floor in pound in round 1 or 2. If that is the case, she should score well and possibly win somebody $25k.
Underdog play of this week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I’m pressured to play Devin Clark this week since he’s only $7.5k however he’s the present betting favorite. I love that kind of worth on DraftKings and that’s what’s forcing me to roll up him. We must include»underdogs» within our DK lineups and when we could really get a favorite, or possibly a roster with 6 favorites, then that helps our odds of hitting all 6 fights and taking down a GPP. Clark should be hot this week also due to this value so I think he’s in play as a money game block and if you want, but in GPPs you will want to have him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage on him over the area.
Fade of the week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is a simple fade for me . She is $8.6k however she is the underdog on the betting line. She’s also +365 to win ITD. If I am paying that price on DK I need higher completing upside or someone who will be heading for a lot of takedowns. I really don’t see her having a lot of a ceiling in this fight even if she does win so that I don’t see her being on the $25k lineup. That’s the reason I will be full fading Santana this week. If I had been making 150 lineups afterward I would add her in the combination, but I would need 50 lineups until I even contemplated using her.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 79-48 for +256.49un (+$25,649) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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